BOJO is on the march
A tory tweeter once told me that Boris will be part of the political landscape for years to come. I was ridiculing the man as a buffoon and utterly out of his depth. Apparently I was wrong.
The mood music surrounding Boris and Dave has shifted over recent weeks.
Boris came out of the Olympics with a real boost in his popularity (not just with voters but with the media) especially after he got stuck on the zip wire. His denials are becoming less and less credible as he starts to comment on areas that Dave would prefer he left well alone.
This weekend has seen the print media following the online twittersphere and blogosphere mood music and starting to consider seriously the rise of BOJO.
The story of Zach Goldsmith offering to stand aside over 3rd runway at Heathrow is just grist to the mill.
His comments over Greening and the reshuffle impact on Heathrow (and the review to follow) suggest a positioning strategy that is beginning his long trek to replace Dave.
Boris isn’t likely to worry about being seen as populist (after all it is his stock in trade) and it is this ‘he’s just like us’ myth that he cultivates effectively with Londoners. Dave will be hoping that Boris stays out of the commons for a while yet. He has enough problems with his failed policies and weak leadership. The differences between them are stark in presentation.
BOJO shoots from the lip while Dave tries to be politically on message. Dave is coiffed and smooth while Boris is untidy and rough. Boris is the perfect anti-blair mode of politician.
Boris is on his own ‘long march to Finchley’ and I suspect he will be leader of the Blue Brigade in the (near-ish) future. However, the tory machine will stick with Dave for the next Election (too close to change nags now) and hope for the best. If Ed Miliband pulls off an incredible victory Boris will be in quick as a flash, if Dave manages to cling on Boris will have to wait.
The Dave and Nick show will have the curtain called on it in 2015 (if not sooner) and depending how damaged Dave is will determine how readily Tory HQ will turn to Boris. Self-interest means that they will stick with a winner until he stops winning.
The dearth of alternatives to Dave (from the current feckless mob) leaves BOJO as the next great Blue hope.
The mood music and westminster two-step has begun and for me there will be only one winner, the (very) heavyweight that is Boris. Dave’s jacket is on a shooglie peg just when it drops off is another question.
One thing is for certain another Bullingdon bull is crashing around in the Westminster firmament and there aren’t many ‘big beasts’ left to control him.